Friday, February 27, 2009

Serious Gambling

When you gamble, especially at a professional level, your always playing the odds. The odds of getting 21, landing on black, or getting a royal flush (it's 1 out of 649,740 if you were wondering).

What if you could find out the odds on the biggest gamble in your life?
Your marriage ending in divorce.

Betsey Stevenson, an acclaimed economist with a Masters and PhD from Harvard, has created a "Divorce Calculator" using census data and other variables of correlating data to determine the likelihood of a divorce. The little data cruncher has been picked up by divorce360.com and has caused much debate over it's validity and usefulness.

Some would like to remain blissfully ignorant to the future, while others are running to figure out after how many years of marriage they will be parting ways with their significant other. The question is should this really be something that we as a culture are embracing so candidly? Assuming divorce and breaking the bonds of love is merely a numbers game?

The calculator can be found here and the research and data used to create the calculator here.

No comments: